Ukrainian Institute of social studies named after Yaremenko (WISES) together with the Center “Social monitoring”, Institute of analysis and forecasting (IAP), as well as the Kiev press club presented by the Metropolitan Agency “UKRINFORM” data-depth studies of electoral sentiment in the cities-“millionaires” on the eve of independence Day.
Pollsters interviewed 2003 respondents in Lviv, Odessa and Kharkov (Western region, southern and Eastern), the study was conducted from 6 to 14 August 2018 method of personal interviews at the place of stay, “face to face”, the standard deviations at reliable 95 percent and ratio of variables from 0,1 : 0,9 to 0,5 : 0,5 amount of 1.31 – 2.18 percent.
According to information received, there has been a downward trend in electoral sympathies from some parties, who were considered the favorites, and, on the contrary, the leadership of those political forces that are not occupied top positions.
For example, if elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine took place next Sunday, undecided on their choice of Lviv residents would vote for “Unification “Samopomich” Andriy Sadovy (20,6%), “Civic position” Anatoly Gritsenko (19,5%), “Block of Petro Poroshenko” (10,6%), “Batkivshchyna” Yulia Tymoshenko (10.4 percent), Radical party of Oleg Lyashko (7.7%) and “Svoboda” Oleg Tyagnibok (7.3 per cent), the party “Justice” Valentin Nalyvaychenko (2,2%)That “public control” Dmitry Dobrolubova (1,8%). Completing the list of the party “For life” Vadim Rabinovich (0,9%) and the European strategy Vinnytsia Volodymyr Groysman and the party “Opposition bloc” Yuriy Boyko (0.5% each). While the other parties have voted almost 10%, to 31.2% of Lviv citizens in General difficult to determine your favorites, and another 14% are not going to go to the polls.
Very different electoral sympathy from the residents of Odessa and Kharkov. In Odessa the undisputed leader among undecided citizens is the party “For life” Vadim Rabinovich (26.1 per cent) lags significantly behind her party “Opposition bloc” Yuriy Boyko (17,6%). Followed by the “Batkivshchyna” Yulia Tymoshenko (15,9%), “Association “Samopomich” Andriy Sadovy (10.7 per cent), “Block of Petro Poroshenko” (6,7%), Radical party of Oleg Lyashko (5.6%) and the party “Civic position” Anatoly Gritsenko (5,4%). Other parties get less than 3%. Despite the fact that difficult to choice about 10% of inhabitants of Odessa, and another 20% are not going to go to the polls.
In Kharkiv the situation is the following: the leaders of the party “For life” Vadim Rabinovich, which would support to 19.6% among undecided citizens. Again behind the party “Opposition bloc” Yuriy Boyko (18,2%), “Batkivshchyna” Yulia Tymoshenko is gaining 15.8%, the party “Civic position” Anatoly Gritsenko and the Radical party of Oleh Liashko gaining 10.5 percent, the party “Vidrodzhennya” Victor Cooper of 7.2%. Leadership closes the peleton “Block of Petro Poroshenko” with 5.2%, “Association “Samopomich” Andriy Sadovy is 3.8%. The rest of the party did not get even 3% of the sympathies of the citizens. Despite the fact that 22% of the inhabitants of this city are undecided in their sympathies, and nearly 20% are not going to go to the polls.
As for the President’s rating – if presidential elections of Ukraine were held next Sunday, the sympathy of Lviv would be distributed as follows: Anatoly Gritsenko (18%), Andriy Sadovy (16%), Petro Poroshenko (10%), Alexander Shevchenko and Yulia Tymoshenko (8%), Oleh Liashko (6%), Oleh Tiahnybok (5%), Roman Bezsmertnyi (3%), Vadim Rabinovich (2%) and Yuriy Boyko (0%).
As usual, in Odessa and Kharkov, a radically different situation and the leaders of the other candidates. Odessa would have voted the following way (among undecided): Vadim Rabinovich (22%), Yuriy Boyko (19%), Yulia Tymoshenko (15%). Next, four candidates received the same number – Anatoly Hrytsenko, Oleh Lyashko, Petro Poroshenko and Andriy Sadovy – 7%, and Oleg Tyagnibok and Alexander Shevchenko – 1%. In Kharkiv Yuriy Boyko (18%), Vadim Rabinovich (16%), Yulia Tymoshenko (12%), Anatoliy Hrytsenko and Oleh Lyashko – by 11%, Petro Poroshenko (5%), Alexander Shevchenko and Andriy Sadovy – 4%.
Moreover, we note that in all these cities-“millionaires” 20% are undecided on their choice and the same amount is not going to go to the polls.