A champion of election promises, with nearly 60% of them realized or in the process of being elected after just over a year of his mandate, Justin Trudeau should be able to add a few to His list after presenting his budget today.
But the pace with which the Liberal government ranks its commitments in the “realized” column should decelerate significantly, according to Université Laval’s associate professor, François Pétry.
Responsible for the Polymeters Trudeau and Couillard, a tool designed to measure the fulfillment or not of the election promises of political parties in power, the political scientist explains that a change of government makes things happen in the first twelve months, notably because a new leader Applies to “undo” what has been done before it.
This phenomenon generally tends to lapse also because what is relatively “easy to achieve” has been the way it was when the Liberals reinstated the long form of the census or attained gender equity in the Cabinet. Bills, such as the legalization of marijuana, are much more difficult and can even be postponed, illustrates François Petry.
Trudeau, champion after one year
For example, former Prime Minister Stephen Harper had realized some or all of his 192 commitments after one year in office, but 68% at the end of his first term, which is below the Average of 72% of governments since 2004, according to the team of researchers Poltext who developed the polimeter.
Last October, when Justin Trudeau celebrated his first year as prime minister, he broke the mark of his conservative rival with 54% of promises made or about to be made on the 353 he made. And it was well above the average of 33% of the leaders who preceded it. After 17 months at the head of Canada, Mr. Trudeau realized 93 promises while 118 still partially are in the pipes for a total of 59%.
Justin Trudeau also has 134 pledges (38%) and eight breaks representing 2% of the total. Among these, his plans to change the voting system or not to exceed the $ 10 billion in deficit per year were the most noticed in the media. There are uncertainties about many other electoral commitments with the arrival of the new US president, Donald Trump, who supports the minister, including those related to the environment and immigration.
The importance given by the ruling party to its electoral promises dates from the “Little Red Book” of Jean Chrétien. “It has become the government’s business plan,” explains Associate Professor at Laval University. “It gives authority to the Prime Minister. It’s not always easy to dominate the chaos, “says François Petry.
Justin Trudeau pushed the note by issuing his cabinet ministers’ letters of appointment and creating a position within the Privy Council to ensure that the Liberal platform is followed to the letter. “He has become one of the most powerful people in government,” summarizes the political scientist who reminds that Stephen Harper also had such an agent in his entourage.
The Trudeau Polimeter was created in 2011 by Université Laval researchers and uses the method of the Comparative Party Pledges Group (CPPG) to validate its data. Recently, a second barometer, the TrudeauMeter, was born. Their conclusions differ mainly because they do not use the same analysis grid. In addition, the latter invites the public to comment.